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RSSB: Rail Risk Portal > Pages > What we do  

What we do

The Safety Risk Model (SRM) is a comprehensive mathematical representation of 120 hazardous events which together models the safety risk of the GB mainline railway.

The SRM has been designed to take full account both of high-frequency, low-consequence events (like slips, trips and falls), and low-frequency, high-consequence events (like train accidents).  It was developed using modelling techniques informed by a combination of incident data and expert judgement.  Most of the data used to populate the SRM comes from the rail industry’s accident reporting into the Safety Management Information System (SMIS); a national reporting system provided and maintained by RSSB.

The SRM has been developed in the form of a cause and consequence analysis using fault trees and event trees to represent each of the hazardous events. Its power lies in its ability to inform decisions on safety priorities and assess the impact of possible risk controls

The causes and consequences of each event are modelled in detail, considering the railway as a whole, rather than concentrating on a particular route or operator.

The model is regularly updated under the stewardship of the SRM Practitioners Working Group, a body comprising representatives nominated by RSSB members. The results of the SRM are made available through the issue of the Risk Profile Bulletin (RPB).

 

 

The Safety Risk Model - Risk Profile Bulletin (SRM-RPB) is produced to inform RSSB members and the wider railway industry of the SRM risk estimates. The SRM-RPB is supported by a range of tools and spreadsheets to help users customise the SRM output to support their particular needs which might include:

  • As Low as Reasonable Practicacble (ALARP) assessments and wider business cost benefit analyses of potential or  changed control measures. Such assessments and analyses might relate to:
    • Industry wide investment decisions
    • Local decisions by transport operators
    • Revision of Group Standards
    • Prioritising areas for research on the railway.
  • Support to transport operators to help undertake suitable and sufficient  assessment of the risk from their operations
  • Identification and prioritisation of issues for monitoring and audit.
  • Developing priorities for the Strategic Safety Plan (SSP).

The risk estimates presented can be used to support particular risk assessments and for judging how the risk relating to particular operations compares with and contributes to the system-wide risk.